Show HN: Experimenting with GPT-3: Building an Investment Analyst We have been experimenting with using GPT3's reasoning capabilities to build an investment analyst that does this : (1) Summarize relevant news of the last 30 days, (2) Write a SWOT analysis, (3) Identify competitors, (4) Identify Key Risks, and (5) Write three investment theses (bull, neutral, bear) Here is an example how this can look like: https://ift.tt/Bke9EZF https://ift.tt/VI0oubc https://ift.tt/xaPEoIg https://ift.tt/KfjuC4R So far, the results of getting reliable data back through well-engineered prompts through the API is quite promising. Yet, from an operational perspective, the biggest problem is that even though we are not using the free service but pay for it frequently run into rate limits. Positives: For Apple, the News Summary provided a useful result. "Apple Inc. is launching Apple Pay Later soon to revolutionize the buy now, pay later (BNPL) industry. Its stock is currently indicating a potential move to $167. The company is also facing an investigation by the Pomerantz Law Firm on behalf of iPhone 7 owners who experienced performance degradation following a device update. Apple's latest iPhones are being sold at discounts in China and the company is expected to rollout a high-end iPhone 'Ultra' in 2024. Additionally, two top market watchers discussed tech's wild run this year." For Microsoft, the Bull-case made more sense than the Bear-case Bull-case "Microsoft Corporation is a technology leader in the industry and is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for cloud computing and artificial intelligence. The company's strong balance sheet, competitive advantages, and focus on innovation make it an attractive long-term investment Bear-case "Microsoft Corporation is a large, mature company with limited growth potential. The company is facing increasing competition from smaller, more nimble competitors and is struggling to keep up with the rapid pace of technological change. Investors should b e wary of investing in Microsoft due to its lack of innovation and potential for declining market share." Negatives: GPT3 is only guessing the next best word. Which might sometimes provide strange results. For example, considering the News Summary for Uber "Uber Technologies, Inc. reported a surge in fourth-quarter revenues and a strong outlook for 2021." We are not in 2021 anymore for a long while. Clearly, GPT3's knowledge of the Yahoo finance dataset has been cut off in 2021 and applied the provided news effectively. For AAPL, GPT3 did not identify any competitors. While we could argue that HP, MSFT, or similar hardware+software companies are in fact, competitors. In conclusion, we need to further investigate if the actual reasoning of GPT3 is mature enough to provide a useful analysis of the stock. Especially under liability considerations. Yet, if it works it could be a really powerful game-changer. Clearly, that is only an experiment and shouldn't be used as an investment recommendation nor seen as investment advice in any way. February 11, 2023 at 08:36PM
Women Pioneers at Muni: Adeline Svendsen and Muni’s First Newsletter By Jeremy Menzies To close out Women’s History Month, here’s a look back at one woman whose work to bring Muni staff together in the late 1940s created a legacy that lives on to this day. Adeline “Addy” Svendsen was founding editor of Muni’s first internal newsletter, “ Trolley Topics .” Adeline Svendsen sits at her desk in the Geneva Carhouse office building in this 1949 shot. Trolley Topics was a new venture when it started in February 1946. As Svendsen wrote in the first issue it was created, “to bring a little fun, a little news, and a lot of good will to all our fellow employees in the Railway.” Just two years prior in 1944, Muni merged with the Market Street Railway Company, expanding the small municipal operation into the largest transit provider in the city with hundreds of employees, vehicles of every shape and size, and dozens of facilities scattered across town. The newsletter was meant to help unite ...
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